In a decisive move on September 17, 2025, the Federal Reserve lowered its benchmark interest rate by 0.25 percentage points, bringing it to a range of 4.00%–4.25%. This marks the Fed’s first rate cut of the year and signals a strategic pivot toward supporting a weakening labor market.
Recent economic data revealed troubling signs:
August job growth was just 22,000, far below expectations
Unemployment rose to 4.3%, the highest since 2017 (excluding pandemic years)
Wage growth has slowed, and hiring momentum has stalled
Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasized that “downside risks to employment have risen,” suggesting that job preservation now outweighs inflation concerns.
Despite the rate cut, inflation remains above the Fed’s 2% target, climbing to 2.9% in August. However, Powell noted that the labor market’s weakness may help ease price pressures over time.
The Fed’s dot plot indicates two more rate cuts are likely before year-end. Economists expect a cautious approach, balancing inflation control with employment support.